EAST ST LOUIS ACTION RESEARCH PROJECT

LA/UP341 Fall 1997


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Costs 

Since we have existing tracks and industrial buildings on the site, we choose to remove one side of the railroad tracks (about 4,000ft) and keep another side to use as our tram track. For the existing industrial buildings, we might keep one of them (at the far east of the site) and remodel it to be operational office and remodel or demolish others, depends on situation of the buildings, and arrange lots for sale.

Major capital costs of site improvements, furnishings, and landscaping include: walkway along the site (connect the new sport center and existing commercial area), benches and gazebos (for recreation or can be sale spaces for souvenirís shop as well), planters, soil preparation, glass, shrubs, and trees are accrued in year 1. For the tram, we assumed that the city already own one, so we can just manipulate it to be the solar tram. Start up costs = 37.8 million.

In years 2-30, maintenance of the project is needed. Maintenance in year 2 will cost approximately $96,000 a year. These maintenance costs are in year 2 dollars so they must be inflated for years 3 - 30 as seen in the Tables.   
Cost analysis 
Startup Costs Unit Cost  Unit of Measurement  Total Cost 
Site Demolition      
Railroad track removal $ 17.80  4,000 ft  $ 71,200.00 
Building Demolition      
Mixture of types $ 0.24  12,000,000 cf  $ 2,880,000.00 
Dump Charges      
Building construction meterials $ 48.00  3 ton  $ 144.00 
       
Site Improvements      
Walk $ 46.00  6,000 ft  $ 276,000.00 
Street Furnishings      
Gazebo (14' diameter) $ 1,445.00  5 u  $ 7,225.00 
Benches (4' long) $ 440.00  20 u  $ 8,800.00 
Planters (48"diameter, 24" high) $ 505.00  10 u  $ 5,050.00 
Solar train $ -  1 u  $ - 
Solar panels $ 2,000.00  2 u  $ 4,000.00 
Landscaping      
Soil Preparation $ 33.50  1,600,000 sft  $ 53,600,000.00 
Seeding $ 5.20  800,000 sft  $ 4,160,000.00 
Shrubs (22.5 sft) $ 72.50  35,000 u  $ 2,537,500.00 
Trees (15" * 18") $ 26.00  150,000 u  $ 3,900,000.00 
      $ 67,449,919.00 
Operating Costs      
  per year     
maintenance $24,000.00  4 u  $ 96,000.00 
 
Greenway/Commercial Development                      
                       
Annual expenditure value (maintenance costs):                      
$96,000                       
                       
future value at                      
inflation rate of: now year year year year year year year year year year
  0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
3.00% $96,000  $98,880  $101,846  $104,902  $108,049  $111,290  $114,629  $118,068  $121,610  $125,258  $129,016 
                       
    year year year year year year year year year year
    11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
    $132,886  $136,873  $140,979  $145,209  $149,565  $154,052  $158,673  $163,434  $168,337  $173,387 
                       
    year year year year year year year year year year
    21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
    $178,588  $183,946  $189,464  $195,148  $201,003  $207,033  $213,244  $219,641  $226,230  $233,017 
Ten-year life cycle/investment return                      
                       
Toatal inflated exps.                      
for next 30 yrs.:   $1,133,548 
 
Total Inflated Maintenance Costs for next 30 years at 3% 
$ 4,704,257.00 
 
Start-up Costs 
$67,445,919.00 
 
Total Costs over 30 Years
                                                            $72,150,176.00
Benefits

We have assumed that approximately four jobs will be created as a result of our project. There will be a conductor for the tram, a general custodian, and two urban foresters/gardeners. If we assume an average salary of $24,000/year, and the city is entitled to 15% of this salary, then the cityís annual tax revenues from these jobs will equal $14,400. We have also assumed, based on the population of the city and the size of our new development, that approximately 500 people per day will pay to ride the tram. We figured that it would take 20 minutes for the tram to go from one end of the development to the other (including stops). In an eight hour day the tram would make about 24 trips, with 30 people on board for each trip, which comes to 720 people per day. Our figure of 500 people per day is the result of an average between 30 riders per day and 15 riders per day. We have decided that an all day pass for the tram costs $.50. So the cityís annual revenue from the tram will be $86,250 ($.50*500* (365 days per year - 20 days per year for holidays, etc.)). Assume tax revenues from the commercial sales will be $7,762,500. (1000 sq.ft./bldg @200 shops * $750/day * 345 operation days/yr *.15 = 7,762,500) Finally, we have assumed that the city will sell a percentage of the land for commercial use. Our total land area equals 6,000 ft. by 800 ft.. If the city were to sell 25% of this land at $30/sq. ft., then the total revenue generated from the sale of land will equal $36,000,000 (.25*(6000*800)*$30). Since we have assumed a 30 year time frame for this project, our $36,000,000 figure needs to be divided by 30 to obtain an annual revenue of $1,200,000. Total annual benefits of our greenway/commercial development will equal $9,063,150 ($14,400 + $86,250 + $1,200,000 + 7,762,500)
 
 
Greenway/Commercial Development                      
                       
Annual expenditure value (income or benefit):                      
$700,650                       
                       
future value at                      
inflation rate of: now year year year year year year year year year year
  0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
3.00% $700,650  $721,670  $743,320  $765,619  $788,588  $812,245  $836,613  $861,711  $887,562  $914,189  $941,615 
    11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
    $969,863  $998,959  $1,028,928  $1,059,796  $1,091,590  $1,124,338  $1,158,068  $1,192,810  $1,228,594  $1,265,452 
    21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
    $1,303,415  $1,342,518  $1,382,793  $1,424,277  $1,467,006  $1,511,016  $1,556,346  $1,603,037  $1,651,128  $1,700,661 
                       
present value at                      
discount rate of: now year year year year year year year year year year
  0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
10.00% $700,650  $656,063  $614,314  $575,221  $538,616  $504,340  $472,246  $442,194  $414,054  $387,706  $363,033 
    11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
    $339,931  $318,299  $298,044  $279,077  $261,318  $244,689  $229,118  $214,537  $200,885  $188,101 
    21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
    $176,131  $164,923  $154,428  $144,601  $135,399  $126,782  $118,714  $111,160  $104,086  $97,462 
                       
3.00% $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650 
    $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650 
    $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650  $700,650 
                       
                       
Ten-year life cycle/investment return                      
                       
Toatal inflated exps.                      
for next 10 yrs.:   $8,273,132                   
                       
present value at r=10%   $4,967,788                   
                       
present value at r=3%   $7,006,500               

Last modified: Dec.18 1997


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